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Obama is going to win
Thursday, September 25, 2008
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9.25.08, 12:30 p.m.I am still not 100% sure who I am going to vote for, but I now for the first time I get the sense that Obama is going to win.

See the realclearpolitics.com poll here
This recent pull up for Obama has happened apropos to nothing, other than Palin wearing off a bit. I think the problem with the McCain campaign is that he shoots from the hip too much and his plans seem to range from sketchy to unbelievable. Combine that with the general mood of wanting to change, look at those numbers of those who think the country is heading in the wrong direction--a whopping 75%--and Obama is change.

He may not be the change we want, but we want change more than we want what we have now. So, that gives him an automatic advantage.
Better start working on him to moderate some of his positions. We really have no money for anything, and whatever we have better go to reducing the deficits and debt. And bailing out...(list so long I don’t even want to start.)

 
19 comment(s)

Dwayne wrote on Sep 25, 2008 12:32 PM:

" I still have faith that voters see through the mask Obama wears, and will do the sensible McCain vote... Frankly, I don't know how the guy got this far, on running against Bush, who isn't even running...

And no, McCain isn't bush, but that's the picture Obama has painted...

If Obama does win, I hope y'all really like Pelosi, because Obama's going to be her puppet... "

freeport56 wrote on Sep 25, 2008 12:43 PM:

" Mike-

Hang tough, it is still early and BHO\JB has more false statements to make. Like the recent one BHO said about his warnings about Freddie and Fannie.


He is doing a stellar job of burying himself through his hollier than thou self-belief. "

kevin wrote on Sep 25, 2008 3:22 PM:

" If I remember correctly weren't both Kerry and Algore slightly ahead in the polls at this time too? "

a teacher wrote on Sep 25, 2008 4:32 PM:

" I agree, but I won't feel confident until after the debates. This financial crisis is killing McCain. It's not him exactly, it's that Americans are putting the blame on Republicans (by a 2 to 1 margin). It may not be fair, but just as Democrats are tagged as weak on defense, Republicans get pegged as the party of the fat cats, and this crisis stinks like a cat box that needs dumping.

I think that the McCain camp hoped that Gov. Palin's pick for veep would get them the independent women's vote and Hillary Clinton's supporters, but that was doomed from the start. All she did was energize the Republican base (which was good for McCain). A more moderate choice may have snagged some independents.

Of course, an international crisis may crop up and make people worry about democratic rule in the White House. However, the wrong kind of crisis may just remind folks of what an unmitigated disaster the Bush Presidency has been. That would not be good for McCain or any other Republicans. "

a teacher wrote on Sep 25, 2008 5:20 PM:

" The thing about McCain is that he is a sharp politician. I wouldn't count him out just yet. I doubt that the Obama camp will. "

DinoSilver wrote on Sep 25, 2008 6:18 PM:

" Yes, McCain has been around long enough he will come out swinging. Once the debates finally get going, we will have a better sense of who will win.

Obama is the Chicago style politician who tells whatever audience he is in front of what they want to hear. If he does win, he will lose in 2012 and most likely in 2010, the dems will lose the majority in the house. The repubs have been fighting hard this year, and have shown some real promise with some younger leaders. As those leaders gain more exposure, especially fighting an Obama administration, we will see a large resurgence.

Don't discount the Hillary supporters either, they are well organized. They know that Hillary cannot run in 2012 if Obama wins. If Palin does well in the debates, there is a good chance things will turn. "

keepinitreal wrote on Sep 25, 2008 10:44 PM:

" I am so amused by Kevin, Dwayne and freeport. Especially the references to Barack Obama's middle name -- who cares?

DinoSilver, if Hillary's supporters are well organized, they are organized FOR Obama. People who are pro-choice and pro-woman don't vote for the McCain/Palin ticket. Period. "

dellasumbrella wrote on Sep 25, 2008 11:00 PM:

" Is it possible that many of the Once Silent Majority, on Main Street, in Middle America, that is, the complex array of people that make up our country, are finally seeing through the shallow, disingenuous platitudes of the Republican party (No New Taxes, Stay the Course, Small Government, Family Values, Win the War, Destroy the Evildoers, Fear the Liberals, etc.) and realizing that yes, Republicans really do represent the wealthy and not the middle class (although they proudly and shamelessly pander to the fears and prejudices of the middle class and below to get their votes), and that no matter how good a person McCain may be, he is, after all, representing the Republican party in this race? Is it possible they are finally tired of being lied to in order to benefit those in a position to take advantage of them? Is it possible the "change" people want is someone speaking to them as if they are capable of understanding something beyond a rank football chant, and someone holding firm to standards of personal, civic, fiscal and international responsibility that in the long run will not only benefit the less fortunate and the middle class of America, but will also lead toward restoration of our national sense of ethics and fair play. Obama speaks the truth, over and over again, wherever he is. He speaks wisdom and awareness and optimism, and I hope NB is right -- that people are tired of the patronizing deception we have endured for the last 8 years, and which we are again seeing in McCain's campaign. (Okay, NB, I know I'm mischaracterizing what you said, sorry.) "

Ruff Limblog wrote on Sep 26, 2008 12:10 AM:

" McCain has failed because he is far too closely tied to Bush and Bushite policies.

It's hardly apropos of nothing that the YouTube webvids are so devastating, NB. Bush and McCain doing Birthday Cake on the day the New Orleans dikes collapse. McCain hugging Bush like he was his daddy. And McCain deadpanning that Nobody has supported Bush and worked as hard to get his policies passed.

McCain wanting to keep all the tax cuts for the rich that Bush and the Bushite Republican congress caused one leg of the deficit with.

NB- a tax cut is only a tax cut if you don't run in the red. If you run in the red, like by running two wars on a credit card - sooner or later the bank will cut up your credit cards.

We had a surplus when Bush took over... you might have been able to make a case for cutting taxes until it was gone, but not for running these huge deficits.

Now it's time to go back to the revenue plan that worked so well during the Clinton Adminsitration. Yes, the rich paid more, but they didn't exactly starve then, now did they?

I'm very sorry that the Usual Suspects are still clinging to their Supply Side economics when it has become time to pay attention to Demand Side economics again.

~Ruff "

Raven wrote on Sep 26, 2008 8:25 AM:

" I once heard supply side economics described as a plan to keep the wealthy getting wealthier by supplying them with more money... "

4gnapan wrote on Sep 26, 2008 9:08 AM:

" >?"Don't discount the Hillary supporters either, they are well organized. They know that Hillary cannot run in 2012 if Obama wins. If Palin does well in the debates, there is a good chance things will turn. "<

huh? .. you think Hillary's supporters would shaft Obama just because they "might" have a chance to elect thier candidate in 2012? ... If you really think that Feminists think Palin is thier gal, I think you should probably start drinking a different brand of Kool-aid. "

glenroy wrote on Sep 26, 2008 1:00 PM:

" It certainly helps that nobody seems to be adding up the costs for ‘Obama’s Economic Plan’… one would think with the economic meltdown caused by Democrat appointees it would work against the party that is the cause….so much for an educated voter.

I still think Obama is destined to be a footnote…. "

Dwayne wrote on Sep 26, 2008 3:58 PM:

" I hope y'all realize that "the bailout plan" includes 20% that goes to ACORN.... "

rogers wrote on Sep 26, 2008 9:40 PM:

" I'm so tired of the lame argument that McCain has EXPERIENCE. Anyone on this planet who has survived 40 years has experience. What we need is JUDGEMENT. Senator McCain has a propensity for bad judgement. The sheer number of "experts" he has surrounded himself with in this campaign then later fired, should be evidence enough of poor planning and evaluation. We don't need impulsive, shoot-from-the-hip politicians; that's who we have been dealing with for the last 7.5 years. When you select big egos who graduated at the bottom of their classes - this is what you get! "

kdbk wrote on Sep 26, 2008 10:22 PM:

" Yes, Kevin, they were. And many of the same folks here celebrating victory prematurely were doing it back in '00, '04 too, a month or so before the election. That's what makes Nov. 4 so much fun. That's when the "last laughter" takes place.

The erstwhile Kerry / Gore supporters here that are now supporting the latest cardboard-cutout Democrat candidate were saying the same baseless, empty platitudes back then as they are now in support of Obama. The results will also be the same this Nov. as they've been for the last three, and for 5 of the last 8 before that. "

misfit wrote on Sep 27, 2008 7:51 AM:

" If the debate proved anything last night, it's that Sarah Palin is not ready to step in to lead this country if needed. It boils down to judgment and John McCain was asleep at the wheel when he chose her. He shot from the hip one too many times. "

kevin wrote on Sep 27, 2008 10:42 PM:

" Misfit, one could make the SAME argument about B.O.'s selection of Biden.

If Sarah had said that FDR was President in 1929 and that he had gone on TV to reassure the public about the stock market collapse, the media would have had a field day. But since Biden did it, it was not reported... "

Bill wrote on Sep 29, 2008 12:17 PM:

" Instead they had a field day with Hoover and elected FDR in 1932. "

misfit wrote on Oct 6, 2008 2:26 PM:

" Now you are really reaching Kevin. So what? Would that be enough to say he is not qualified to be VP or President. I personally don't think so. "

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