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Our debt mountain
Tuesday, August 26, 2008
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A well-established economic principle called the “wealth effect” holds that consumers’ spending is influenced more by their sense of well being than by their incomes.

If consumers believe that their wealth is growing — from home equity or retirement savings, for instance — they’re more inclined to run up credit cards, tap home equity and otherwise incur debt to buy things.
California has seen the upside of the syndrome. The decline of the housing market is an especially egregious example of the downside.

Californians’ penchant for debt has a political counterpart in the absolute tidal wave of borrowing that the state’s officeholders and voters have undertaken, some above-board bonds, some clandestine off-the-books loans, some for legitimate public purposes, and some to cover deficit spending.
The irony is that until a couple of decades ago, California had an almost pathological aversion to public debt and relied on pay-as-you-go approaches, even for public works projects. The state’s once-matchless highway system was financed from fuel taxes, for instance, while its world-class system of colleges and universities was largely built with royalties from oil on state-owned tidelands.

Our massive water system, including Oroville Dam and the California Aqueduct, was built with “revenue bonds” repaid from water sales, not general taxes. Local facilities were financed either from fees, such as those for water and sewer service, or property taxes.
Proposition 13, the 1978 property tax limit measure, didn’t preclude tax increases for local debt, but the atmosphere turned sour. The state began issuing bonds to finance school buildings, courthouses, jails and other local public works.

As budget deficits hit the state in the 1990s and in this decade, governors and legislators turned to debt to finance them, undercutting the facade of balanced budgets. Some of the debt was formal, such as the $15 billion bond issue Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger pushed through in 2004 to refinance short-term operating debt. Some of it was clandestine, such as robbing the state teachers retirement system, knowing that the money grab would be declared illegal and have to be repaid later.

Servicing existing formal and informal loans now costs the state general fund more than $5 billion a year — and the beat goes on.

Voters approved $42 billion in bonds two years ago, but the November ballot already has several new ones, including one to finance a high-speed rail system of dubious justification. Schwarzenegger wants another $9.3 billion bond for water and to borrow against future state lottery profits to create a budget reserve. Republican legislators want the state to borrow billions of dollars from local governments and/or transportation accounts to cover the current budget deficit rather than raise taxes.

California is building a debt mountain. Someday it will collapse. The only question is when.

(Walters writes for the Sacramento Bee.)
17 comment(s)

napablogger wrote on Aug 26, 2008 1:33 AM:

" Voters have to write Wiggens and Evans and start demanding they balance the budget with no new taxes or debt. Willie Brown, that whacked out neoconservative, has suggested what to do. Use last years budget, with no increases. $98 billion, that is what you have, that is what you spend. Actually Willie says they even have 3-5% more than that.

We have to cut costs. "

Bauhausfan wrote on Aug 26, 2008 5:57 AM:

" The irony is that until a couple of decades ago, California had an almost pathological aversion to public debt and relied on pay-as-you-go approaches, even for public works projects. The state’s once-matchless highway system was financed from fuel taxes, for instance, while its world-class system of colleges and universities was largely built with royalties from oil on state-owned tidelands.

Our massive water system, including Oroville Dam and the California Aqueduct, was built with “revenue bonds” repaid from water sales, not general taxes. Local facilities were financed either from fees, such as those for water and sewer service, or property taxes.

Proposition 13, the 1978 property tax limit measure....


Golly gee, do you think our budget problems have anything to do with Prop 13?

Nah, it's just a big coincidence. "

kevin wrote on Aug 26, 2008 6:37 AM:

" So those dastardly oil companies actually once paid REVENUE to the State? Who would have thunk it? From the comments posted here, one would have to conclude that they got everything for free.

Do you suppose it would MAKE SENSE to open up NEW AREAS for oil drilling and in return the State would get MORE REVENUE? "

shareathought wrote on Aug 26, 2008 8:37 AM:

" After reading multiple postings by "kevin" supporting oil drilling, and knowing that humans and other living things can suffer ill affects from oil (isn't it posted at the pump?), is it possible the poster is employed in the industry, has stock options or in some way collects revenue?

We have used half of the oil it has taken billions of years to create; there is not an endless supply.

[Note: This is not meant as a personal attack nor to be degrading; I'd like to understand] "

shareathought wrote on Aug 26, 2008 8:47 AM:

" As a nation, each individual owes China ~$4,000.

State-wide, what do we each owe (and what is the interest/rate)?

If each family were to cut up their credit cards, if parents helped their child to open a savings account (and teach the benefits of having money to pay for what is wanted), then, maybe we'd have the money for what we need. "

freeport56 wrote on Aug 26, 2008 12:35 PM:

" Bauhausfan-

I sure hope you have lived in California all your life and can remember what property taxes once were. Prop 13 had a dual purpose in it's passage, 1) reduce property taxes that were crushing individuals(15% on my parents house of $130k=$10k), 2) rein in excessive spending by local and state governments.

If not, could you pay 10- 15% property tax on your house? How many of you could? Without fiscal responsibility and a reduction in it's size, Sacramento will continue to spend OUR MONEY on irresponsible programs.

Ruff, you know not what you speak. Tell your liberal puppets in Sac to stop spending our future away...$160 Billion in the whole and counting... "

freeport56 wrote on Aug 26, 2008 1:40 PM:

" The 10 year reign of the Democrats has done this to us. "

kevin wrote on Aug 26, 2008 1:57 PM:

" It's an urban legand among Lib's that Prob 13 is the cause of all evil in the world. The truth of the matter is that PROPERTY REVENUE TO THE STATE IS HIGHER THAN BEFORE PROP 13

(YES, ADJUSTED FOR INFLATION). "

Sickothis wrote on Aug 26, 2008 3:34 PM:

" Factually, Ruff is spot on correct. And sorry freeper, but last I looke dthe gubbernator is a Republican, how push through two huge bonds to refinance the debt. Kinda like taking equity out of your house to pay your bills, not changing the lifestyle, and we all know how that worked out. "

sickothis wrote on Aug 26, 2008 3:37 PM:

" napablogger - what specifically would you cut? "

Bill wrote on Aug 26, 2008 4:03 PM:

" Bauhausfan,

Do you realize how many working class people buying homes from the early seventies forward would be crushed by the absence of Prop. 13?

Slapping additional taxes on individual family homes 30, 40, and 50 years old spiraling up from 10 to 50 mill values to values in the several 100 thousands and can't be replaced on incomes that do not match, did not keep pace with that spiral will not solve revenue problems but increase them.

You make a mistake in your arguments presentation by making prop 13 the sole culprit. Prop 13 is beloved by many older home owners as the only means they can remain in their homes and by many working class people as the only way they can remain apart of America and California.

Find a better prop. "

kevin wrote on Aug 26, 2008 6:53 PM:

" Bill, the most important function of Prop 13 is the 2% yearly increase limit. Prop 13 works for ALL homeowners in California...

Shareathought, in the interest of full disclosure, yes I used to be employed in the oil services industry (the old Kaiser Steel here in Napa). Before all those jobs went overseas, the oil companies were a source of good, high paying jobs.

The effects of NOT having oil are MUCH more detrimental than those of having oil. We will never "run out" of oil. As it becomes more difficult to extract, the price will continue to increase. At some point alternatives will become economically viable. We are not there yet... "

Raven wrote on Aug 26, 2008 7:14 PM:

" kevin, unless that drilling were to take place on state-owned lands, there would be no income paid to the state.....leases on federal lands would pay almost nothing in royalties and what little the companies would pay would go to the feds...thank your republican congress for refusing to close that loophole "

antipc wrote on Aug 26, 2008 7:25 PM:

" Kaiser Steel used to build offshore drilling platforms for the North Sea & countries abroad. Here we sit 3 decades later wallowing in the stupidity of the preservationists. Ironically, the people of CA refuse to learn from history & pass it on to the current Congressional obstructionists. "

Bauhausfan wrote on Aug 26, 2008 8:13 PM:

" Actually I never made an argument about Prop 13. I just find it strange that since the passage of prop 13 we have so many unbalanced budgets.

"No longer do we hear about senior citizens being forced to sell their homes because they can’t pay outrageously high property tax bills. But Proposition 13 had the unexpected result of putting a lid on taxes from commercial properties — and shifting the overall burden toward homeowners. The share of state revenue from residential property taxes has steadily increased, while the proportion from commercial properties has steadily declined. Why? Proposition 13 requires reassessment of a property only when it changes ownership. Commercial property simply doesn’t change hands as often as residential property. That means there are fewer opportunities to reassess them at market rate.

Another key factor is the legislation passed in the wake of Proposition 13 specifying that commercial property can only be reassessed when ownership changes by 50 percent or more. But commercial property owners have benefited from rules that allow them to avoid triggering the 50 percent “change in ownership” provision. “The law is more a loophole than a tax,” says Lenny Goldberg, executive director of the California Tax Reform Association." "

Raven wrote on Aug 26, 2008 8:41 PM:

" everyone seems to forget that the cap on homeowner tax rates was added to Prop 13 by its backers as a way to gain their support for a cap on reduction in the commercial property taxes.... "

antipc wrote on Aug 26, 2008 9:13 PM:

" Commercial property employs' people that that pay income taxes while the employer pays income taxes as well as business taxes... Get it?

As Freeport pointed out a $1/2 million house would cost $50,000.00 in property taxes, minimum.

Stop crying, you can afford to live here because of Prop 13.

BTW property taxes are part of the renters monthly payment. "

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