Political surge in Iraq
It has taken nine bloody and difficult months, but the deployment of 30,000 additional U.S. troops appears at last to have brought not just a lull in the sectarian fighting in Iraq, but the first tangible steps toward genuine political reconciliation.
Last week, the parliament passed a crucial package of legislation that reflects real compromise among the many factions on three of the thorniest issues that have bedeviled Iraq. First, a law requires that provincial elections be held by Oct. 1, and requires that a law spelling out the details on conducting the election be passed within 90 days.
This is essential because there hasn’t been legitimate, elected local leadership in much of Iraq since Sunnis boycotted the 2005 local elections. Free elections of leaders who would be accountable to their populations would make it possible for the U.S. to hand over power in many Sunni areas and draw down.
Second, an amnesty law will allow the release of thousands of prisoners, most of whom are Sunnis and many of whom have been held for months in hideously overcrowded jails. The amnesty was a key condition for the Iraq Accord Front, a Sunni party, to return to the government of Prime Minister Nouri Maliki, which it quit last summer. Maliki reportedly hopes to form a new Cabinet soon.
The package also included a national budget, finally passed on the seventh try. It gives 17 percent of national revenues to Kurdistan — more than the Sunnis wanted, but a first try at the kind of painful compromise that will be essential in keeping Iraq from more violent Balkanization.
Ironically, all this good news might make it harder to get American military personnel out of the country. The better things go in Iraq, the less likely it is that U.S. generals (or politicians) will want to risk jeopardizing their hard-won gains by drawing down. Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates has agreed to a request by Gen. David H. Petraeus to return to the pre-surge level of about 130,000 troops by August, and then allow a “strategic pause” to evaluate whether more can come home.
Battlefield commanders know best how many troops are needed to keep the country stable, but as a political and economic matter, U.S. forces must leave Iraq eventually — sooner, if voters choose a Democratic president, much later if the president-elect is Republican John McCain. Either way, the United States needs a logical, orderly exit strategy that minimizes the risk that civil war will resume when our troops leave.
If the momentum of Iraq’s political surge is sustained, it’s conceivable that the United States, having torn the country apart in an ill-conceived invasion and a disastrous occupation, could help glue the biggest pieces together on its way out the door. But building a decent government will probably prove even harder than curbing the violence. And even under the rosiest scenario, it will be our moral duty to provide large-scale political, military and humanitarian aid, including support for the refugees who are beginning to trickle back home, for many years to come.
(This editorial originally appeared in the Los Angeles Times.)
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rocketman wrote on Feb 19, 2008 7:29 AM:
kevin wrote on Feb 19, 2008 8:19 AM:
Sandra wrote on Feb 19, 2008 9:31 AM:
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common sense wrote on Feb 19, 2008 10:13 AM:
glenroy wrote on Feb 19, 2008 10:46 AM:
JimClark wrote on Feb 19, 2008 11:11 AM:
War is a devastating and demoralizing assault on the enemy; PERIOD!! Our politicians, since WWII have not supported these conflicts as a majority. That could be considered aiding the enemy. "
russ wrote on Feb 19, 2008 5:36 PM:
Ruff Limblog wrote on Feb 19, 2008 8:27 PM:
Sandra wrote on Feb 20, 2008 8:43 AM:
Common Sense wrote on Feb 20, 2008 9:02 AM:
JimClark wrote on Feb 20, 2008 11:23 AM:
BushCheney2008 wrote on Feb 20, 2008 1:46 PM:
glenroy wrote on Feb 20, 2008 3:03 PM:
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Ruff Limblog wrote on Feb 20, 2008 4:25 PM:
Joe wrote on Feb 20, 2008 4:43 PM:
russ wrote on Feb 20, 2008 7:02 PM:
Ruff Limblog wrote on Feb 20, 2008 9:27 PM:
Rocco wrote on Feb 20, 2008 9:37 PM:
JimClark wrote on Feb 21, 2008 3:44 PM:
War ends shortly after it is declared as such. "
russ wrote on Feb 21, 2008 4:32 PM:
kdbk wrote on Feb 21, 2008 7:19 PM:
Lincoln was hated by millions of his countrymen during his term. He waged a war against rebellious states that cost more than a half-million lives...when the country was a lot smaller than it is today. Not to mention the comparable financial costs. Gee, I wonder what an "opinion poll" circa 1863 would have had to say regarding people's satisfaction of the war. Of course, the "satisfaction" score for the eventual outcome and long-term results from the Civil War today is about 99%.
Washington had to change strategy and endure terrible defeats through the 7 year American Revolution. He was scorned and opposed by more than half of the colonists in his pursuit for FREEDOM and very, very often (and sometimes quite sternly) encouraged to give up. Although he wasn't President during the war, when he finally reached that office, he was offered the job for LIFE.
The efforts of these great leaders were not fully realized for a long time after they were gone. How sad it is that the "ruffs" of the world just don't comprehend this imperfect, dangerous and vast world in which we live. And they think we're the simple-minded ones.
"
russ wrote on Feb 21, 2008 8:58 PM:
Joe wrote on Feb 21, 2008 11:25 PM:
Todd Adams wrote on Feb 22, 2008 7:22 AM:
It may be that Bush, Clinton, Tenet and Russions believed that Iraq had WMD, but I and most of the world did not and were correct. The yellow cake urarium from Niger claim and the aluminum tubes for processing uranium were both proven false before we invaded. In the case of the yellow cake uranium, Tenet pulled that out of a speech Bush gave in Cincinati because the claim was based on a forgery, but somehow the yellow cake story made it back into the State of the Union speech 3 months later. Oops? It was clear to me that we were being misled about why we needed to invade Iraq.
Furthermore, the idea that Saddam would give WMD to a bunch of terrorists is naive. Osama bin Laden called Husain an infindel and bin Laden was exiled from Suadi Arabia when he started to build a muhajadeen army to kick the Iraqis out of Kuwait before we did the job for him.
Even though I was opposed to going into Iraq in the first place, I am glad to see that there is some political progress in Iraq. I've been hoping for the best all along, but I think we are going to be stuck in this pickle for alongtimetocome. "
JimClark wrote on Feb 22, 2008 10:35 AM:
War is a violent and demoralizing assault on the enemy.
The Nazi removed the removable antiquities from Dresden after being warned that city would be decimated. The population was warned by leaflets and rumors. Little if any attempt was made to evacuated that city.
The bombing and destruction of Dresden demoralized the entire German population and left the message that Germany itself could be reduced to ashes. That is war. Hiroshima and Nagaski suffered the same destruction. Bottom line? Unconditional surrender. War is better left to the Generals under the auspices of the President with the absolute support of Congress. "
JimClark wrote on Feb 22, 2008 12:59 PM:
Common Sense wrote on Feb 22, 2008 4:50 PM:
misfit wrote on Feb 22, 2008 5:04 PM:
russ wrote on Feb 22, 2008 5:24 PM:
Bill wrote on Feb 23, 2008 10:31 AM:
russ wrote on Feb 23, 2008 4:58 PM:
Sandra wrote on Feb 23, 2008 5:00 PM:
Joe wrote on Feb 23, 2008 7:34 PM:
Madison Jay Hamilton wrote on Feb 24, 2008 9:26 AM:
common sense wrote on Feb 24, 2008 9:43 AM:
Bill wrote on Feb 24, 2008 11:05 AM:
Madison Jay Hamilton wrote on Feb 24, 2008 11:29 AM:
russ wrote on Feb 24, 2008 6:17 PM:
russ wrote on Feb 24, 2008 6:19 PM:
Madison Jay Hamilton wrote on Feb 24, 2008 10:43 PM:
Sandra wrote on Feb 25, 2008 7:57 AM:
Common Sense wrote on Feb 25, 2008 10:14 AM:
russ wrote on Feb 25, 2008 11:37 AM:
russ wrote on Feb 25, 2008 11:43 AM:
Madison Jay Hamilton wrote on Feb 25, 2008 10:30 PM:
Madison Jay Hamilton wrote on Feb 25, 2008 10:31 PM:
russ wrote on Feb 26, 2008 5:35 PM:
russ wrote on Feb 26, 2008 5:50 PM:
pro patria mori" was relevant during WWI when it was written, not today. Give credit to the young men and women of our volunteer armed forces for knowing what awaits them, as they serve their country during a war. "
Madison Jay Hamilton wrote on Feb 28, 2008 5:43 PM:
Sandra wrote on Feb 28, 2008 7:35 PM:
Madison Jay Hamilton wrote on Feb 28, 2008 10:18 PM:
JimClark wrote on Feb 29, 2008 1:15 AM:
Sandra wrote on Feb 29, 2008 7:35 AM:
Madison Jay Hamilton wrote on Mar 1, 2008 9:52 AM:
glenroy wrote on Mar 1, 2008 1:16 PM:
Sandra wrote on Mar 1, 2008 4:56 PM:
russ wrote on Mar 1, 2008 6:39 PM:
Madison Jay Hamilton wrote on Mar 2, 2008 9:33 AM:
Madison Jay Hamilton wrote on Mar 2, 2008 9:34 AM:
Sandra wrote on Mar 2, 2008 12:26 PM:
kdbk wrote on Mar 4, 2008 9:53 PM:
It is not wise to judge the merits and the long-term results of the war in Iraq at this point. Throughout our nation's history, people like you have carelessly decided that a war is wrong, lost, bad or otherwise misguided, well before it is over and the eventual results are fully realized. Presidents, just like Bush today, have had to endure the scorn of people like you who couldn't clear the smudge on your lenses enough to maybe just see a little ways in to the future...to a better place that comes as a result of war and sacrifice.
The comparisons abound from past to present and they are extremely relevant. So Saddam didn't have Hitler's army, or Japan's navy. Thus, according to your logic, he simply could not have ever posed such a dangersous threat to peace regardless of how long he was left unattended. What a massively ignorant perspective. "
russ wrote on Mar 5, 2008 9:32 PM:
rogers wrote on Mar 6, 2008 11:43 AM:
Sandra wrote on Mar 6, 2008 6:27 PM:
Madison Jay Hamilton wrote on Mar 6, 2008 8:49 PM:
rogers wrote on Mar 6, 2008 11:06 PM:
And remember Paul O'Neil, this administration's first Secretary of the Treasury? His book reveals that from their first meetings, the invasion of Iraq was a forgone conclusion replete with maps showing the new oil lease sites that American and European corporations would develop. But the lie I spoke of is the deliberate deception of this nation's people who ultimately pay the highest price for this administration's duplicity. Did you learn nothing from the Vietnam War? It's a matter of trust and that trust is now broken. Two-thirds of the American people now think this war was a mistake. "
rogers wrote on Mar 7, 2008 12:13 AM:
The fact that we are now supporting the very Sunni clans we kicked out of power, demonstrates that we don't trust the Shia led government. I'm afraid "the strong-arm military leader who will take charge..." is more a reality than you want to admit. But when Iraq's government implodes in sectarian strife, it will either be a powerful military figure we have trained (the usual scenario) or a powerful religious leader with a sizable personal army. Does the name Muqta Al Sadr ring a bell?
We have few friends in this war, not as you state, "because it s now over run with terrorists..." but because we refused to pay attention to international law and the United Nations. We bullied and bribed a number of our allies into participating in this deception. Remember the Coalition-of-the-Willing? As predicted they are mostly gone and we are alone in this pretense. And, according to our own DOD reports, most of the terrorism in Iraq is still brought about by the home-grown resistance with help from Al Qaeda, Iran and Syria. Al Qaeda wasn't there until we went there.
If you and your friends feel it is in our best interest to remain in Iraq, perhaps you would prefer to pay for it yourselves? "
Sandra wrote on Mar 7, 2008 7:53 AM:
rogers wrote on Mar 9, 2008 12:46 AM:
Sandra wrote on Mar 9, 2008 10:31 AM:
glenroy wrote on Mar 9, 2008 3:05 PM:
Name a nationally recognized Political Scientist, either moderate left or right, that has not been overwhelmingly impressed with the surge? The fact is the ‘surge’ has brought a ‘tidal surge’ among leading political scientists complementing the results...all that remains are bitter partisans such as....
Your problem, Rogers, is that you haven’t a relevant argument, just complaints..when ‘we’ supported the Shia you complained we’re siding against the Sunni, ‘we’ supported the Sunni you complain about that too. Even complaining when the Iraqi government gets around to implementing conciliatory reforms towards the Sunni. If, Iraq is in the mists of a civil war, obviously not, or even if it was a mistake, as you insinuate, to temporarily appoint dispossessed Iraqi nationals to govern, it did buy needed time to commence piecing together a complicated mosaic of Iraqi fractions...our policies have proven to be remarkably effective, while mistakes are only relevant if left uncorrected..it is the art of war.
In the context of the 9/11, those who truly understood the magnitude of this threat could not have imagined that 8 years hence the political, military/intelligence, regional and geopolitical landscape could have improved in our favor this dramatically...no thanks to partisans. Additionally, if not more importantly, it is quite likely that within 12-24 months Iraq will have the most effective anti-terrorist military in the entire Middle East...being the only staunch regional anti-terrorist ally. In the end all is good, so far.
"
Madison Jay Hamilton wrote on Mar 10, 2008 10:33 PM:
Madison Jay Hamilton wrote on Mar 11, 2008 5:17 PM:
Sandra wrote on Mar 12, 2008 10:32 AM:
"
Sandra wrote on Mar 12, 2008 10:42 AM:
glenroy wrote on Mar 12, 2008 12:37 PM:
rogers wrote on Mar 12, 2008 1:48 PM:
Hussein had a strong distrust of fanatical religious sects. He was a strong-arm politician and commander who saw most religious extremists as a threat to his existence. He had little trust of the Shiite clerics in Iraq and their support from their extremist Iranian counterparts.
Remember that Osama bin Laden hated the Saudi Sunni power structure and they ejected him from their realm on threat of death. He was as much a threat to Saddam Hussein as he was to the Saudi royalty.
Had Al-Qaeda attempted to set up camp in Saddam's Iraq, they probably would have been escorted to the border or prison.
There is no question that Saddam Hussein attempted to support the PLO's actions against Israel. Whether or not his promised pay-offs to Hamas or PLO families actually happened is another question. Certainly our $25 million reward for info leading to Osama's capture/death hasn't worked very well.
As to glenroy's assertion that Hans Blix and Scott Ritter were not credible sources, well they were right, weren't they? David Kay (the Bush administration's lackey) slithered back to Washington and testified that there appeared to be no WMDs found since UNSCOM's dismantling of Iraq's munitions, nuclear and biological weapons in the 1990's. Nor was there any evidence that the former programs had been resurrected.
Sorry folks the "evidence" is not in your court. "
rogers wrote on Mar 12, 2008 2:19 PM:
The review was conducted for the military's Joint Forces Command by the Alexandria-based Institute for Defense Analyses.
Quit trying to prop up this lame administration's record of deceit and abuse. "
Sandra wrote on Mar 13, 2008 8:26 AM:
glenroy wrote on Mar 14, 2008 12:02 PM:
FACT:
Saddam set up Kurdish al Qaeda, al anslar Islam the first known al qaeda franchise, in northeast Iraq prior to 9 /11 and at the time of liberation had built up forces exceeding 1,500 fanatics..it was the primary military objective of our northern front which we all know did not materialize as planned. It is also documented that Saddam had an intelligent agent present at al qaeda's 9/11 organization meeting in Malaysia.
Shortly after 9/11 Saddam had made teaching the radical Islamist ideology mandatory in all schools.
Shortly after 9/11 Saddam laid the ground for the Sunni uprising, this a deal between 'Iraqi/al qaeda' as the plan against invasion completely missed by our intelligence...this is documented on any number of websites as well as the BBC.
It is inconceivable to think that today, had we not removed Saddam and according to his own statements prior to the party, the Iraqi WMD programs would have been fully reconstituted, it's even false to continue claiming no WMD were found, we have about 10 tons of WMD artillery shells, plus thousands of gallons of illegal chemical precursors which could be converted to WMD as easily and mixing the ingredients..
Don't let Obama surrender after victory.....
"
Madison Jay Hamilton wrote on Mar 15, 2008 5:02 PM: