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Immigration a dangerous issue for GOP
Even though past election results overwhelmingly indicate that enforcement-only campaigns don’t succeed, Republicans seem bent on making illegal immigration a centerpiece of their 2008 campaigns.
Monday, November 12, 2007
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For the umpteenth time, American voters this year have rejected a nativist approach to illegal immigration. It ought to be a warning to Republicans: Don’t make this your 2008 wedge issue.

Election results on Tuesday, especially in Virginia and New York, also should encourage nervous Democrats that they can support comprehensive immigration reform — stronger enforcement plus earned legalization — and prevail.
To temper legitimate concern in the country about the local burdens resulting from failure of the U.S. government to control its borders, both parties in Congress should extend federal “impact aid” to communities whose schools and health facilities are especially affected.

Polling on immigration consistently shows that large majorities of Americans — two-thirds, in a September ABC survey — believe the United States is not doing enough to curb illegal immigration. B almost as many, 58 percent, support allowing illegal immigrants to earn their way to legal status.
However, a fervent minority — figured at a third of Republicans in one private poll — opposes “amnesty” and has had its views amplified by right-wing radio talk-show hosts. Republicans in Congress have bowed to the pressure.

Even though past election results overwhelmingly indicate that enforcement-only campaigns don’t succeed — indeed, by offending Hispanics, pose a long-term threat to the GOP — Republicans seem bent on making illegal immigration a centerpiece of their 2008 campaigns.
GOP presidential candidates Mitt Romney and Fred Thompson are accusing former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani of having run a “sanctuary city” for illegal immigrants, and Giuliani is trying to turn the fire onto Democrats. At this rate, things could get ugly next year, with Republicans waving the “A” word — “Amnesty” — like a bloody shirt.

Recent election results demonstrate that it doesn’t work.

In New York, for example, various Democratic county officials survived GOP efforts to link them to Gov. Eliot Spitzer’s unpopular proposal to give driver’s licenses to illegal immigrants. Most of the Democrats opposed Spitzer’s plan.

Frank Sharry, director of the National Immigration Forum, says, “If you have an either-or debate on border enforcement, enforcement is going to win. If you have an enforcement-plus-legalization debate, Democrats can win, but they actually have to get out in front of it and take the initiative.”

That’s proved true in Arizona — “ground zero” in the immigration wars — where Gov. Janet Napolitano (D) got re-elected in 2006 by a 2-to-1 margin against an anti-immigrant GOP opponent. She is a strong advocate of federal impact aid to help communities cope with immigration burdens.

In 2006, other appeals to nativism failed in Indiana, Colorado, Pennsylvania, Florida and Delaware, and — after House Republicans voted to make merely being an illegal immigrant a felony — the GOP percentage of Hispanic votes dropped from 40 percent in 2004 to 30 percent in 2006.

Despite all that evidence, House GOP leaders have staged vote after vote on amendments designed to restrict benefits to illegal immigrants — even where the law already restricts them — and Senate Republicans led the way in filibustering the DREAM Act, which would have allowed young people brought to the U.S. by illegal immigrants to earn citizenship.

If Republicans want to destroy their future prospects in increasingly Hispanic, once-Republican states like Colorado, Florida, New Mexico, Nevada and Arizona, it’s their option. But the process could be very nasty.

(Kondracke is executive editor of Roll Call, the newspaper of Capitol Hill.)
6 comment(s)

common sense wrote on Nov 12, 2007 1:19 PM:

" Actually, this seems like a much more dangerous issue for Democrats, as evidenced by the response to Hillary Clinton's flailing over a related question during the last debate. The simple fact is, neither the Democrats in Congress nor President Bush have done ANYTHING to solve the illegal immigration problem. Businesses steal from the little guys, the workers get treated inhumanely, and the illegals don't pay enough taxes to cover the services they use. Our hospitals and infrastructure are overwhelmed. Fix. The. Problem. "

Napanee wrote on Nov 12, 2007 2:50 PM:

" Really? I think recent polls show we are fed up with the "do nothings" in both parties. How many people have switched to the Independant party? The American people would like to see someone fighting for their rights. Not big business, not the wealthy, not the illegals, the middle class people who made this country the best in the world. I think you all need a big wake up call! "

wmb wrote on Nov 12, 2007 3:01 PM:

" It isn't 2006. 2006 was Bush & Iraq. The Democrats have done nothing about issues. Bush is out in 2008, and Iraq is just going to have to take time to get settled, hopefully in a way that is good for the citizens of Iraq and for us both. At least some of the Dem's do not get that the time for "enforcement plus legalization" is past. Its been tried, we saw that version of enforcement. Get this, illegal immigration is not a sustainable model. The majority of all political parties realize that as far as the citizens in this country. Mass immigration itself is not a sustainable model, and it has been pushed on us in the illegal immigration issue for years. We need enforcement. We needed it years ago. The issue is now so out of control because the laws you did pass were either impossible to enforce, or ignored. The very laws meant to protect the citizens of this country and minorities of this country have been used against us to encourage illegal immigration. Enforce the law, strengthen the laws so it works to the benefit of the citzens in this country. If you can't do it, move aside and let someone who has the courage to do it take over your job. "

deansmith1010 wrote on Nov 12, 2007 4:27 PM:

" Why is it only a "divisive" issue, or a "wedge" issue, if the Democrats are on the wrong side of it? "

Concerned Citizen wrote on Nov 12, 2007 6:33 PM:

" Morton Kondrake, a consistant illegal immigrant advocate and law breakers' apologist continues his blather with this ridiculous commentary. Where in the world does he get the idea that, because one poll might suggest it; a majority of Americans do not support enforcement only? I suspect he is stretching the "truth" just a little; and where are the actual statistics to back this up? With follow up "polls?" How can an otherwise intelligent person ignore the blatant fact that our laws are being broken and those breaking the laws are actually confrontational and challenging while perpetrating the law breaking (aka crossing our southern border illegally)? How can any sane person think that, just because they are here in large #'s, the only option we as American citizens have is to become submissive, passive, apologetic even; and ashamed for being insulted and angry at this outrageous situation? Has he forgotten the large majority of Californians who passed Prop 187 which was, then, disarmed by judicial edict? Has he never watched CNN? Is he totally unaware of all the cities across this nation run by Governors who are trying to curtail the ill effects of illegal immigration as well as rid their communities of this invasive force? Hazelton, Pa., Oklahoma? and dozens of other cities/counties/states are fighting illegal immigration because our Fed. gov. refuses to face it, deal with it, get rid of it. Shame on any American who sells this country out to any/all invaders just because they are here. "

CarolinaD wrote on Nov 12, 2007 10:11 PM:

" Wow, I don't get those poll numbers. If so many people support amnesty why did almost 80% oppose the comprehensive immigration bill last June. Those are bogus as is Kondracke's interpretation of last weeks ballot results. If anything, voters re-elected in droves tough illegal alien enforcers across the United States. Democrats that won did so on tough stands as well. Kondrake admits that when discussing the Democrats who won in New York by opposing Spitzer's illegal driver's license plan. The United States cannot afford to subsidize with taxpayer dollars this flood of illegal aliens if they are given amnesty. Estimates now put the number at over 20 million. If given amnesty, chain migration of family members follows. We need to be enforcing fines and sanctions on businesses that hire illegals and refusing precious taxpayer benefits to them as well. Repatriation to their countries of origin will result. If we do not we will see overpopulation and third world status in our country! It is sad that Open Borders elites such as Kondracke don't care more about working Americans and wage suppression that results from illegals and only about big business profits, while taxpayers foot the bill to the tune of $20,000.00 per year per illegal household. It's time Americans demand the rule of law be returned before we lose this country and her sovereignty. A secure border under Guiliani or McCain means a future mass AMNESTY! www.sosusa.us "

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