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Checking the math on the 'Folly Trolley'
Thursday, August 02, 2007
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I have always been suspicious of so-called “reporting.” I have had those suspicions reinforced time and time again.

True reporting verifies all facts, etc., before the article in question goes into the newspaper or report. Kevin Courtney, in his July 21 article “Sticking up for the trolley,” appears to have forgotten this most important aspect of reporting the news. His article can only be described as propaganda by those involved — and not very convincing propaganda at that!
In his article, the Napa County Transportation and Planning Agency makes the outrageous claim 50,000 people ride the trolley each year. They further claim 11 passengers per hour. It appears that the NCTPA and Mr. Courtney might want to take a math refresher course! This is third grade stuff! They may want to make the claim instead, “I am not smarter than a third grader!”

Let’s see. Twenty-four hours in a day, and 365 days per year. Twenty-four times 365 equals 8,760 hours in the year, right? So, 11 passengers times 8,760 — or 96,360 passengers per year — not 50,000!
However, let’s accept their 50,000 claim as stated. That would be 50,000 divided by 8,760 hours per year, which equals 5.71 passengers per hour, not 11. Remember now, we are talking grade school math, not the high school stuff!

In fact, not even the 5.71 figure is a reality! All one has to do is observe and then count. The boondoggle trolley rides empty a major portion of the time! I have yet to see or count more than four or five at any one time! Most of the time the count is ... zero!
This fact does not help the average passenger count. The Folly Trolley would do well to average two per hour!

A million dollars of our sidewalk funds down the drain! And millions more of taxpayers’ state transportation money wasted.

There is nothing Napa Mayor Jill Techel or the NCTPA can truthfully offer to dispute the Grand Jury report! The Folly Trolley has been a bad joke from its inception.

At the first concept meeting on this endeavor, the first question city councilmembers should have asked themselves was, when was the last time they rode a bus in a city they visited as a tourist?

I was raised in a real tourist town — Colorado Springs, Colo. Tourists did not ride the buses! They came to town, drove their cars to where they were going, made their tourist stops, got back into their cars and moved on. I am 65 and have never ridden on a bus system in a city or town that I visited as a tourist! I would venture a guess that neither have any of the councilmembers who voted for this Folly Trolley.

What on this earth could have made those city councilmembers who voted for the “Mondavi Copia Trolley” (oops, did I just say that?) support such an obvious waste of public funds? Let me see, Techel was the head of the NCTPA at the time, if my memory serves. The Copia Utopia was also a major part of the voting at the time! Both of these were not only bad dreams, but also financial failures of major proportions! Somehow this does not appear to be a world-class Paris kind of action.

Could it be that those in our city government who make these kinds of outrageous decisions at citizens’ expense just do not have the necessary knowledge to do so? Especially when the sidewalks and streets are dangerous! Senior citizens and the handicapped are injured all over the city, while the City Council votes for things like the Folly Trolley and the Copia Utopia! Or could it possibly be political contributions, greed and the quest for political power? Whatever the answers, it is quite clear to me it is not in the best interests of the city or the citizens!

Perhaps this opinion will serve to begin a questioning of our city officials and the actions they take, supposedly on our behalf. Perhaps reporters will check and verify data presented to them as fact before they print it as such! Propaganda is just that!

Regardless, the Grand Jury report on the Folly Trolley continues to be without factual rebuttal. Perhaps Mr. Courtney might offer an article on this fact? I do not presume to tell Mr. Courtney what to write, but merely to check and verify what is written first! But in any case, the Folly Trolley and Copia Utopia are a total bust! I leave it up to those who read this opinion to do the research and the math! I remain open to any factual rebuttal.

(Wilkinson has been a Napa resident since 1967.)
17 comment(s)

George wrote on Aug 2, 2007 1:40 AM:

" If I were you Ms. Wilkinson, I would get out of Napa and check out tourist cities where the tourists actually take public transportation, like the vintage F streetcar service or the cable cars in San Francisco. The San Diego Trolley is another example because it follows along many a tourist destination. Places where tourists want to visit. Napa may not be the size of those cities. However I've read so much negativity here from many like you who frown on tourists. Mind you the math may not have come close to reality. However I honestly think the trolley serves a purpose. May not had been the draw like many had hoped. Honestly many cities who have motorized trolleys have brought back many downtown. However it is a two way street. The trolley alone will not bring folks downtown. Needed services and a place to go would help! "

Sal wrote on Aug 2, 2007 6:57 AM:

" Although I also think time has shown the trolley to be underutilized and a poor use of funds, I wonder about Mr. Wilkinson's math. When NCTPA talks about riders per hour, I believe the implicit assumption is "per hour of service," and we all know the trolley doesn't run 24 hours/day and 7 days/week. If it's really meant to lure tourists in a boozey area, I think the best idea is routes from hotels to restaurants and other businesses, and evening service. Copia would be included as it has a restaurant. Although maybe once all of the spiffy hotels open they will provide their own shuttle vans. "

Not so fast wrote on Aug 2, 2007 7:07 AM:

" Here's a factual rebuttal for you. Your gathering of facts and your math is no better than the people you're slamming. The trolley doesn't run 24 hours a day, so all your ciphering is pointless. "

mominapa wrote on Aug 2, 2007 7:16 AM:

" I have commented on this matter in the past and I agree with this article wholeheartedly. I live near Fuller Park so I see the trolley all the time. I was driving behind it last night on the way home from the grocery store. It stopped several times, not a single person got on or off and there were no passengers. All I could think of was the fuel it was wasting. If it was my job to drive that vehicle I would be bored to tears every day. I must dispute one thing said in the article - I have ridden busses in three cities in which I was a tourist - San Francisco, Manhattan and London and Napa is a far cry from any of those. It is easy to get around Napa and the Napa Valley in your car so why should anyone limit themselves to the schedule and route of the trolley? How much could a tour guide say about Fuller Park, or the old Victorians? The really historic scenes are upvalley and in the hills and mountains around the valley where Robert Louis Stevenson hung out. The trolley visits downtown Napa and some of the surrounding areas. Oh, goody, let's look at Poo Poo Lagoon (the Napa River) and see all the ugly construction that is going on downtown and messing up traffic for tourists and citizens alike. The Folly Trolley - Good Name. "

Sandra wrote on Aug 2, 2007 8:47 AM:

" Robert, I am not agreeing or disagreeing with you, but for the sake of accuracy, you need to realize the trolly does not run 24 hours a day. I would suggest you rework your math using the hours of operation. "

4th grader wrote on Aug 2, 2007 9:55 AM:

" maybe thay calculated the number of passengers per hour during the hours of operation not on a 24 hour day. But what do I know? I am a little kid. "

NoDumbGrowth wrote on Aug 2, 2007 9:57 AM:

" Thank you! Mr. Wilkinson for pointing out just how laughable and ridiculous the "Folly Trolly" is. What a joke! It appears to serve only those who want to get into or out of Napa proper at no expense to themselves; mostly people who live in the Westwood area of Napa. It is a bus...you are absolutely right about that! It is a dressed up "put some lipstick on that pig" bus. It gets in the way of the flow of traffic, it bumbles down First street and squeezes onto the overpass entry way, it makes wide turns; most of the time without being safe about it. AND it transports "freebie" riders, not tourists, for Heaven's sake. You are so right, too; who goes to a big city, a tourist destination and RIDES THE BUS???!!! NO ONE!!...not of the "world class" status that Napa is so desperate to attract. And to go to....Factory Stores? Where is the "unique Napa way of life" in that? Factory stores are EVERYWHERE! No foresight, just a desire to get their names in "lights," to be "recognized;" in short, to be "big fish in little pond" dwellers. Welp, nope! It isn't working, folks. Get rid of all the theme park traps and trappings, and let Napa be a real town again. "

NoDumbGrowth wrote on Aug 2, 2007 10:02 AM:

" Hey, "George" The examples you give ARE REAL trolley cars with history and real purpose. They are not busses dressed up to look like SF cable cars. I will agree with other posters here who point out the obvious; that the calculations were probably not based on a 24 hour day but 'hours of service.' That having been said; I would have to submit that most tourists do not ride typical busses; they ride "els," "trams," "cable cars," real trollies, etc. Not your run of the mill, crowded stinky bus. Not as a tourist. "

John wrote on Aug 2, 2007 11:03 AM:

" The Folly Trolly of course contributes nothing to the economies of the Valley other than possibly to downtown Napa and clearly isn't economical. If the hotels and stores downtown feel it is an effective way for them to market and/or mor\ve thewir employees, I suggest it be totally funded by those business establishments. I suspect that the funds being wasted would be far better spent in marketing of the Valley; not just downtown Napa. "

napagirl wrote on Aug 2, 2007 11:16 AM:

" Thank you all you insightful people that all basically had to repeat each other's comment about the trolley not running 24 hours a day. The fact still remains that hardly anyone rides that thing. I work on Jefferson street, and I see that trolley every time it passes. I've never seen more than 3 people on it during the work day, and it's Summer! What a waste of money! "

grade schooler wrote on Aug 2, 2007 12:44 PM:

" 50,000 people a year. divide that by 365, er, 139.9636 people every day. But then who is counting? "

mike wrote on Aug 2, 2007 3:50 PM:

" Maybe you shouldn't have stopped paying attention to math in 3rd grade, by 7th grade you'd have learned you need valid data points to make an accurate calculation. Looking at the trolley schedules, the fluff bus runs right about 80 hours per week, both routes combined. Times 52 weeks per year = 4,160 hours of operation per year. 50,000 passengers per year divided by hours of operation = 12 riders per hour. So the beaurocrats ridership numbers of 11 per hour do seem to coincide with the other data they've made available. Now it's up to you to decide if you buy any bit of their claim that those trolleys average 11 people per hour all day, all year long. And if you do, I'd like to sell you a slightly used bridge spanning the Napa River at Imola. "

I'm just saying wrote on Aug 2, 2007 3:59 PM:

" While I am not going to argue the merits of our Napa Downtown Trolley I am going to comment on Mr. Wilinson's math. He berates the register reporter for misinformation, he needs to stop and look at himself. The trolley does not run 24 hours a day. If you look at their schedule the average is approx 62.5 hours per week times 52 weeks = 3250 hours per year. That still doesn't match the reported numbers. But, if you're going to get high & mighty, Mr. Wilkinson, be sure YOUR facts are correct. "

Up Valley Reader wrote on Aug 2, 2007 6:54 PM:

" Wilkinson's math is off, but the fact is that the city of Napa is not the destination of tourists. It isn't even a very good bedroom for the desitination. Napa needs to get over the fact that it is NOT the center of the tourist industry in this valley. Stop throwing money at tourists! "

Exasperated wrote on Aug 6, 2007 1:49 PM:

" I just use the Folly Trolley a few Friday nights during the summer to get a free ride to downtown so I only have to pay for a taxi ride back after I've hit a few bars. Never, ever, ever have seen tourists on that thing, and that would be a prime time to spot them. "

Local Yokel wrote on Aug 6, 2007 11:22 PM:

" C'mon y'all this is not Santa Barbara, and we demolished all the interesting old buildings around the town center long ago. Nothing will bring them back. The ambiance of old town is long gone. The trolley cars are pretty - pretty expensive for Napa taxpayers! "

My 7-Year Old wrote on Aug 8, 2007 8:15 PM:

" Took my daughter on it, and the driver only pointed out the jail as we passed (wheee). She said it needs a bell like the cable cars in SF. She always notices when it goes by, but doesn't want to ride on it again. Another clock tower for the Napa mentality.... "

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